First, the "Good" News:
Another rough day in the markets. And another “great victory for the American people.”
The
Dow fell yesterday. Driving stocks down was the unprecedented carnage
in the oil market. West Texas Intermediate oil was selling for MINUS $39
a barrel. Experts at Bloomberg say the price could fall to MINUS $100.
In
theory, if your swimming pool were empty, you might buy a couple
truckloads of oil. The average pool will take about 20,000 gallons.
That’s nearly 500 barrels of oil.
So
if you filled your pool, you’d get paid $19,500. Then you could wait
until things get back to “normal”… and sell your oil, say, for $20 a
barrel… and pocket another $10,000.
Or you could just learn to like swimming in black goo.
Swamp Stimulus
It’s deflation now… inflation later.
Oil is below zero. Money too. Like oil, in some places you have to pay someone to store it for you.
And
as things get crazier and crazier, you may soon be able to buy a house
for less than nothing (a negative rent). Then, it is only a matter of
time until stocks trade below zero, too.
Yesterday, they were headed in that direction.
Then came the news that the feds had agreed on another bi-partisan SwampFiller program. Bloomberg:
Senate Passes $484 Billion Interim Economic Stimulus Package
At
the rate things are going, the money will be gone by the end of next
week… comfortably ensconced in the pockets of insiders, chiselers, and
cronies coast to coast.
But don’t worry. There’s more where that came from.
There
are too many oil companies producing far too much oil. But Donald Trump
proposes to lend them more money. The idea is to pay them NOT to
produce:
I have instructed the Secretary of Energy and Secretary of the Treasury to formulate a plan which will make funds available so that these very important companies and jobs will be secured long into the future!
And
even though the latest bailout has not yet been passed, there’s another
already on the way. Here’s Bloomberg again this morning:
The Senate sent a $484 billion package of new pandemic relief funds to the House for likely approval Thursday, as lawmakers and the Trump administration began turning their attention to the next round of stimulus for a stalled U.S. economy.“We have a great victory for the American people,” House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said after the Senate acted. “But we certainly need to do more.”
The “more” is where the inflation comes in.
It’s
one thing to fake out investors with quantitative easing (QE) and
fraudulent interest rates. It’s another to dump trillions in helicopter
money on what’s left of the Main Street economy.
In
the former case, you get higher stock prices. Everybody’s happy. In the
latter, you get higher consumer prices. Who’s happy then?
But
for now… we’re still in the deflation phase. And yesterday’s news of
coming inflation did little to lift stocks. The Dow still settled down
631 points. Only 23,018 left to go!
$10 Trillion Blunder
Meanwhile,
research and statistics continue to pile up… hinting that the Trump
Administration has made a $10 trillion blunder in its handling of the
C-virus.
New
studies show that the virus moves faster than expected… infects more
people than expected… and kills fewer of them than expected. It acts,
well, like a regular virus… not like The Plague.
Typically,
a virus gets passed around the schools in winter. Children come home
with runny noses. Parents soon have colds, too. Then, when they visit
grandparents… the old folks are doomed.
The
“old man’s friend” is how they used to describe pneumonia. It came
along, just in time, before the old fellow’s condition – mental or
physical – became too embarrassing.
In
the case of the C-virus, the most reasonable course of action is merely
to warn people… and let them take precautions. That is about what
Sweden has done.
The U.S. took the more heavy-handed approach – it imposed curfews, shut-downs, and economic stoppages on everybody.
In
closing the schools, it prevented children from learning (assuming the
schools serve any useful function at all), but it also prevented the
children from building up the immunity that will prevent the disease
from spreading.
In
closing the economy, it prevented people from earning a living, which
means it prevented them from earning the “wealth” that we all need to
live on.
The
result is a man-made economic catastrophe. No one knows how much it
will cost – in real output only. But current estimates are running
around $10 trillion.
And
that’s not counting the economic damage done by the feds’ bailouts and
money-printing… or the losses in the asset markets. U.S. stocks alone
are down about $5 trillion since early February.
Great American Fraud
Had
only the vulnerable old people been locked down, the damage would have
been minimal. Old people are mostly retired… or can work from home… It
is no great loss if a few Walmart greeters have to stay home.
But the U.S. has lost more young workers than older ones. Here’s a tweet from Ezra Klein:
52% of Americans under the age of 45 have either lost their job, been put on leave, or had their hours dramatically cut as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, compared to 26% of people over the age of 45.
Almost all young people… and the huge majority of people in their 30s, 40s, and 50s… live by the “sweat of their brows.”
That is, they earn money by selling their time.
They
make no money when they’re not working. They add no wealth. They learn
no skills. Time – their most important asset – has been stolen away.
Their lives have been impaired.
Along
come the feds and tell them, “No sweat… we’ll give you money.” The
Paycheck Protection Program pretends to make them whole by replacing
real time with fake money.
A great victory? Nope. Just another fraud.
Regards,
- Bill Bonner -
Now, for the Bad News:
This lockdown is destroying far more lives than it's saving, and the main reason they want to shelter people from this virus is so the masses can't develop immunity before they can sell you the vaccine for it.
And of course they already have the vaccine, even as they pretend to be expending money and working hard at "developing" it, to justify the price they will charge to gullible and complicit Governments, based on the alleged costs they have already "altruistically" paid out to do so.
Bill Gates patented the virus itself back in 2015. A vaccine is simply an injection of dead virus so your body's immune system has time to recognize it and build up its OWN defenses before encountering the real, live version.
Meanwhile, they keep insisting that the hydrochloroquine cure is a myth while confining people to ventilators instead, and letting them die. That's beyond criminal negligence - it's mass murder for money.
And on top of that, it's giving "our leaders" a taste of Fa-Fa-Fa-Fa-Fascism, too.
(Anyone else getting "policed" by security guards at grocery stores?)!
It's not their job, nor the obligation of the store manager or the corporate owners or their lawyers, to protect me from the other shoppers, nor they from me, and more that it is the job of the police to "pre-emptively, defensively" police and arrest everyone else in advance, just in case we might eventually commit some crimes.
It's a form of criminal negligence to try to "err on the side of caution" just "Because, SINCE something COULD go wrong, so it WILL go wrong, and, 'probably' IS in fact already going wrong, SO WE HAVE TO STOP YOU by attacking you first, so you can't commit the crimes you have yet to even think about trying to commit!" That's reversing the onus and burden of proof to: "GUILTY UNTIL PROVEN GUILTY/NEVER PROVEN INNOCENT!"
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